Discover how credibility theory helps actuaries use historical data to estimate risks and set insurance premiums; learn how ...

Discover how the Dutch Book Theorem reveals profit opportunities in betting and finance when probabilities are misjudged.

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon. Objective: This real-world study evaluated the efficacy and safety of telitacicept, a dual BAFF/APRIL inhibitor, in patients with ...

Incrementality testing in Google Ads is suddenly within reach for far more advertisers than before. Google has lowered the barriers to running these tests, making lift measurement possible even ...

Amazon has ordered its latest YA turn. The streamer has handed a greenlight to a series adaptation of The Probability of Miracles based on Wendy Wunder’s eponymous novel. It comes after Prime Video ...

A team of international physicists has brought Bayes’ centuries-old probability rule into the quantum world. By applying the “principle of minimum change” — updating beliefs as little as possible ...

The odds of the U.S. economy slipping into a recession have grown in recent months, according to global financial services company UBS. In an analysis cited by Fortune, the global financial services ...

A variation of a puzzle called the “pick-up sticks problem” asks the following question: If I have some number of sticks with random lengths between 0 and 1, what are the chances that no three of ...

This article was originally published at The Conversation. The publication contributed the article to Space.com's Expert Voices: Op-Ed & Insights I was preparing for my early morning class back in ...

I have been studying planetary defense, particularly being part of past, ongoing, and future small body missions. I was part of the NASA/DART mission. I am currently part of the NASA/Lucy mission and ...

Salvage crews have recovered the boom from the $40 million Bayesian luxury yacht, which sank off the coast of Sicily in August 2024, killing seven people, including British tech tycoon Mike Lynch and ...

Sudden, hurricane-force winds toppled the luxury Bayesian superyacht that sank off the coast of Sicily last August, according to an interim report into the disaster, which found the boat had ...