The output gap is expected to remain positive in 2026 and equal 3% of potential GDP, the highest in the euro area according ...

For Poland, Russia’s war in Ukraine represented a major downward shock to output and upward shock to inflation. However, the strong real wage growth and fiscal stimulus of recent years have driven a ...

The gap between expected and actual inflation has been wide and persistent, making it difficult to anticipate when and how inflation will hit portfolios. For investors, this uncertainty underscores ...

Higher tariffs are often thought to present a problem to monetary policymakers at the Federal Reserve (Fed). Tariff shocks raise prices and reduce output and employment, which seems to push in ...

This paper examines the challenges of formulating monetary policy in the face of heightened uncertainty. We develop a framework to assess the optimal monetary policy path under uncertainty, focusing ...

TOKYO, Feb 7 (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan is increasingly blaming chronic labour shortages, not stagnant demand, as the main reason for its weak economic activity, a justification it may use to lift ...

The Governor of the Bank of Ghana, Dr Johnson Asiama, has projected that Ghana’s headline inflation is expected to remain ...

Price pressures are likely to rise to around 1.4–1.5% in Q1. Singapore’s headline and core inflation are expected to edge ...

TOKYO, March 4 (Reuters) - Japan's output gap in the October-December quarter turned positive for the first time in six quarters, the Cabinet Office estimated on Tuesday. A positive output gap occurs ...

MANILA, Philippines — The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas sees inflation risks in 2026 tilted to the downside, with new analysis showing a high chance that price growth could slip below the lower end of ...